The Soapbox

hoolstoptheheels

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 27042
Likes: 34318


If Biden winds up winning? Why?


Those predictions were just about odds of a win, not odds of a landslide. At least 538 had most outcomes in the “very close” category. Their range of expectations as I see it were from Trump by a whisker to a Biden landslide, but with quite a few of the outcomes in the “nail biter” category.

If Biden holds his leads and wins at least MI, I think 538 turned out to be ok on the pres race.
[Post edited by hoolstoptheheels at 11/04/2020 08:40AM]

(In response to this post by hoodeyo)

Posted: 11/04/2020 at 08:37AM



+3

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Current Thread:
 
  
Glad I got in on Biden at +450 last night ** -- CharlestonSC 11/04/2020 08:20AM
  Are you hedging now or all in? ** -- thebombardier 11/04/2020 09:32AM
  Yeah nice hit ** -- wahoo138 11/04/2020 08:25AM
  Nice work. Amazing. ** -- Molina 11/04/2020 08:24AM
  Good move. What time of the night was that. ** -- Shenhoo 11/04/2020 08:23AM
  The betting market was predictably stupid -- wahoo138 11/04/2020 08:27AM
  Huge middles all night ** -- wahoo138 11/04/2020 08:46AM
  If Biden winds up winning? Why? -- hoolstoptheheels 11/04/2020 08:37AM
  Taleb imo has a really good sense for probability theory. -- hoolstoptheheels 11/04/2020 09:48AM
  His perspectives are relevant and important -- hoodeyo 11/04/2020 10:03AM
  Actually last night the limits were removed ** -- CharlestonSC 11/04/2020 08:42AM
  Ah, interesting -- WahooMatt05 11/04/2020 08:44AM
  That's a point I've been making about that market -- wahoo138 11/04/2020 08:35AM

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